Byproducts · Longevity can save America

What else happens if this works.

The plan is about biology. The byproducts are about money. Older people are a small share of the population and a very large share of the spending, the debt keeps climbing, and almost none of the research budget goes to the thing underneath most of it. Every number below is from the deck.

01 The bill

Spend trillions on early death, or make trillions on living longer lives.

Society’s choice, as the deck puts it. The debt chart is the backdrop. The spending chart is where aging shows up in it.

U.S. national debt

Gross federal public debt, in trillions of dollars.

Sources: Fed of St. Louis, Department of the Treasury, Statista. Figures as shown in the deck.

05101520253035 19661970198019902000201020202024 $35.46T
Share of total population and total health spending

By age group, 2021.

Hover a band. People over 65 are 18% of the population and 36% of the spending.

Share of population

Share of spending

  • 65+18% pop · 36% spend
  • 55–6413% pop · 19% spend
  • 45–5412% pop · 13% spend
  • 35–4413% pop · 10% spend
  • 19–3421% pop · 12% spend
  • 0–1823% pop · 9% spend

02 The business case for longevity

Peak earning years don’t have to end at 60.

Today disease arrives, then morbidity, then death, and earning tapers through all of it. Compress the sick years to the very end and the wealth accumulation phase runs decades longer.

The business case for longevity

Money earned, by age.

102030405060708090100 Age Money earned
  • Normal wealth accumulation phase
  • Extended wealth accumulation phase
Normal / current
Peak earning years Birth Disease Disease Morbidity onsetMorbidity Death
Longevity
Peak earning years · · · Birth Compressed morbidity Death

Source: longevity.technology, as shown in the deck.

03 Aging research is critically underfunded

The thing under nine of the ten leading causes of death gets half a percent.

Three ways to count the same gap. Sourced from the Longevity Biotech Fellowship, as shown in the deck.

0.5%

NIH allocation to aging biology

<1%

of biotech valuation

<3%

of biotech startup funding

Society’s choice

Spend trillions on early death

or

Make trillions on living longer lives.